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West Coast Outdoor Weather 12-10-2015

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MichaelFagin_portrait_StuartRange_LakeCarolineTrail-horz

 

West Coast Outdoor Weather 12-10-2015  The Washington Cascades can expect some moderate precipitation at times for this weekend with some locations in the West Cascades getting up to 3 inches (cumulative) in water equivalent. However for part of Saturday snow levels increase briefly to about 5000 to 6000 feet but slowly lower to 2500 by later on Sunday. Thus on Sunday new snow of about 20 inches in some places at 3500/4000 feet.
For much of the Northern Sierra (Lake Tahoe and north) some light snow on Saturday especially for the north with heavy snow for much of the Sierra on Sunday with over 20 inches at 4000 feet. This is from a deep trough of low pressure that moves inland (see map below).
Trough of low pressure. Source: NOAA
Trough of low pressure. Source: NOAA
How about the weather for this coming week starting 12-14-2015?   The Washington Cascades light snow on Monday and Wednesday and dry conditions on Tuesday.  For Monday and Tuesday Lake Tahoe and south will be some  snow of 6 inches at 4000 feet. Then a drying trend for Wednesday.
Don’t forget to check out on blog as we publish some interesting historical weather content. This one is on Mt Everest and the jet stream

About the author: Michael Fagin has been providing mountain forecasts for the Pacific Northwest since the mid 1980’s and is currently providing weather forecasts for many of the Seattle Mountaineers Climb and Scramble leaders.  Michael also provides weather forecasts for some government agencies on key weather events in the Puget Sound Region: wind storms, major rain events, and snow events.  Since 2003 Michael has been providing weather forecasts for Mt. Everest for many of the major expedition and for mountaineers climbing the major peaks around the world. Forecast are also provided  for outdoor events like weddings. Finally Michael and his associates are used as expert witnesses in legal proceedings that concern meteorological events..   Michael Fagin is lead forecaster for West Coast Weather LLC and its affiliate firms: Everest Weather, Alaska Mountain Weather and Washington Online Weather.

 

Please see our web sites for additional information:  West Coast Weather and Everest Weather. We provide custom forecast for all outdoor events from weddings to climbing mountains.  We also provide historic weather content used in legal proceedings. For information you can  call (toll free)  877-969-4786 or email michaelfagin than put “@” comcast.net for details.

 

West Coast Outdoor Weather 12-3-2015

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MichaelFagin_portrait_StuartRange_LakeCarolineTrail-horz

 

West Coast Outdoor Weather 12-3-2015  The Washington Cascades can expect some heavy precipitation at times and windy conditions over the weekend.  24 hour precipitation totals for the period ending Sunday morning will be well over an inch in water equivalent. How much snow? Close to 16 inches at 5000 feet and above. For the Northern Sierra (north of Lake Tahoe) dry on Saturday then some snow on Sunday with close to 5 inches at 5000 feet.
How about the weather for this coming week starting 12-7-2015?   The Washington Cascades can expect heavy precipitation for 12-7 through 12-9 with snow levels at 5000 to 6000 feet. For the Northern Sierra (north of Lake Tahoe) some light snow (2 to 3 inches) at 6000 for Monday and then dry for Tuesday. Wednesday chance of some moderate precipitation with  snow levels at 7000 to 8000 feet.
Don’t forget to check out on blog as we publish some interesting historical weather content. This one is on wind storms.

About the author: Michael Fagin has been providing mountain forecasts for the Pacific Northwest since the mid 1980’s and is currently providing weather forecasts for many of the Seattle Mountaineers Climb and Scramble leaders.  Michael also provides weather forecasts for some government agencies on key weather events in the Puget Sound Region: wind storms, major rain events, and snow events.  Since 2003 Michael has been providing weather forecasts for Mt. Everest for many of the major expedition and for mountaineers climbing the major peaks around the world. Forecast are also provided  for outdoor events like weddings. Finally Michael and his associates are used as expert witnesses in legal proceedings that concern meteorological events..   Michael Fagin is lead forecaster for West Coast Weather LLC and its affiliate firms: Everest Weather, Alaska Mountain Weather and Washington Online Weather.

 

Please see our web sites for additional information:  West Coast Weather and Everest Weather. We provide custom forecast for all outdoor events from weddings to climbing mountains.  We also provide historic weather content used in legal proceedings. For information you can  call (toll free)  877-969-4786 or email michaelfagin than put “@” comcast.net for details.

 

West Coast Outdoor Weather 11-25-2015

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MichaelFagin_portrait_StuartRange_LakeCarolineTrail-horz

 

West Coast Outdoor Weather 11-25-2015  A ridge of high pressure will be in place over the West Coast for much of this coming weekend so the West Cascades of Washington  can expect dry conditions.  The Northern Sierra can expect dry conditions for Saturday with chance of showers for late on Sunday with best chance for the evening but more likely snow for Monday.
How about this coming week starting 11-30-2015?   The Washington Cascades will continue with the dry pattern for Monday and during the day on Tuesday. Then for Tuesday night and into Wednesday chance of some precipitation with snow levels at 6000 feet.
The Northern Sierra will have a trough of low pressure over the region for Monday (11-30) through Wednesday (12-2) so there will be chance of moderate to heavy snow over this period.  Models suggests storm totals for this period of 30 to 40 inches of snow (cumulative) at 5500 to 6000 foot level. However models have been somewhat inconsistent with this so lower confidence in this forecast but certainly worth monitoring it.

About the author: Michael Fagin has been providing mountain forecasts for the Pacific Northwest since the mid 1980’s and is currently providing weather forecasts for many of the Seattle Mountaineers Climb and Scramble leaders.  Michael also provides weather forecasts for some government agencies on key weather events in the Puget Sound Region: wind storms, major rain events, and snow events.  Since 2003 Michael has been providing weather forecasts for Mt. Everest for many of the major expedition and for mountaineers climbing the major peaks around the world. Forecast are also provided  for outdoor events like weddings. Finally Michael and his associates are used as expert witnesses in legal proceedings that concern meteorological events..   Michael Fagin is lead forecaster for West Coast Weather LLC and its affiliate firms: Everest Weather, Alaska Mountain Weather and Washington Online Weather.

 

Please see our web sites for additional information:  West Coast Weather and Everest Weather. We provide custom forecast for all outdoor events from weddings to climbing mountains.  For information you can  call (toll free)  877-969-4786 or email michaelfagin than put “@” comcast.net for details.

 

West Coast Outdoor Weather 11-19-2015

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MichaelFagin_portrait_StuartRange_LakeCarolineTrail-horz

 

West Coast Outdoor Weather 11-19-2015  A ridge of high pressure will be in place over the West Coast for this coming weekend so the West Cascades of Washington and the Sierra in Northern California can expect dry conditions.
How about this coming week starting 11-23-2015?   A weak weather system will bring some light snow showers at 2000 feet for the Washington Cascades early in the week.  Then for the Northern Sierra a trough of low pressure (see map below) will be over the region on Tuesday and Wednesday for some snow at 4000 to 5000 feet. Totals (cumulative) for Tuesday and Wednesday in the 8 to 10 inch range but lower confidence in totals given the extended nature of the forecast.
11-19-2015gfs168hr_500_vrt
Trough of low pressure over the Sierra. Source: NOAA

About the author: Michael Fagin has been providing mountain forecasts for the Pacific Northwest since the mid 1980’s and is currently providing weather forecasts for many of the Seattle Mountaineers Climb and Scramble leaders.  Michael also provides weather forecasts for some government agencies on key weather events in the Puget Sound Region: wind storms, major rain events, and snow events.  Since 2003 Michael has been providing weather forecasts for Mt. Everest for many of the major expedition and for mountaineers climbing the major peaks around the world. Forecast are also provided  for outdoor events like weddings. Finally Michael and his associates are used as expert witnesses in legal proceedings that concern meteorological events..   Michael Fagin is lead forecaster for West Coast Weather LLC and its affiliate firms: Everest Weather, Alaska Mountain Weather and Washington Online Weather.

Please see our web sites for additional information:  West Coast Weather and Everest Weather. We provide custom forecast for all outdoor events from weddings to climbing mountains.  For information you can  call (toll free)  877-969-4786 or email michaelfagin than put “@” comcast.net for details.

West Coast Outdoor Weather 11-12-2015

in Earth by

MichaelFagin_portrait_StuartRange_LakeCarolineTrail-horz

 

West Coast Outdoor Weather 11-12-2015  A strong trough of low pressure and cold front will be in the Washington Cascades this Saturday and Sunday. This will initially start as heavy rain early on Saturday however by Saturday night and Sunday we can expect snow.  Weekend snow totals for many areas in the West Cascades will be in the 10 to 12 inches at the 3000/4000  foot level with much higher totals above 5000 feet.
How about the Sierra?  It should be dry for most of Saturday. Then on Sunday the trough moves in  to bring some mountain snow.  Some models suggest 6 to 10 inches of snow at 5000 over this period for Lake Tahoe and north .
How about by the middle of the week (11-18-2015).  Models keep mountain snow in the forecast for the West Cascades. However, in the Sierra a ridge of high pressure (see below) will be in place for dry conditions.
500 mb map (18,000') shows a ridge over the Sierra. Photo Credit: NOAA
500 mb map (18,000′) shows a ridge over the Sierra. Photo Credit: NOAA

About the author: Michael Fagin has been providing mountain forecasts for the Pacific Northwest since the mid 1980’s and is currently providing weather forecasts for many of the Seattle Mountaineers Climb and Scramble leaders.  Michael also provides weather forecasts for some government agencies on key weather events in the Puget Sound Region: wind storms, major rain events, and snow events.  Since 2003 Michael has been providing weather forecasts for Mt. Everest for many of the major expedition and for mountaineers climbing the major peaks around the world. Forecast are also provided  for outdoor events like weddings. Finally Michael and his associates are used as expert witnesses in legal proceedings that concern meteorological events..   Michael Fagin is lead forecaster for West Coast Weather LLC and its affiliate firms: Everest Weather, Alaska Mountain Weather and Washington Online Weather.

Please see our web sites for additional information:  West Coast Weather and Everest Weather. We provide custom forecast for all outdoor events from weddings to climbing mountains.  For information you can  call (toll free)  877-969-4786 or email michaelfagin than put “@” comcast.net for details.

West Coast Outdoor Weather 11-5-2015

in Earth by

MichaelFagin_portrait_StuartRange_LakeCarolineTrail-horz

 

West Coast Outdoor Weather 11-5-2015  We can expect a trough of low pressure and cold front to move into the Washington Cascades on Saturday and Sunday to bring some moderate precipitation on Saturday with lighter amounts on Sunday. Saturday amounts will be close to 2 inches in water equivalent and then up to 0.50 inches in water equivalent for Sunday. There will initially be higher freezing levels early on Saturday so rain at 6000 feet and below. However by later Saturday and into Sunday snow levels drop to 3500 to 4500 feet. Thus weekend snowfall totals up to foot at 4500 to 5000 feet for some West Cascades locations and perhaps more at Mt. Baker.
How about the Sierra? The trough moves in later on Sunday and Monday to bring some mountain snow.  Some models suggest a foot of snow at 6500 over this period for Lake Tahoe and Mammoth areas and perhaps higher totals more .
Trough of low pressure map at 18,000'. Source of photo: ECMWF
Later on Sunday. Trough of low pressure map at 18,000′. Source of photo: ECMWF

About the author: Michael Fagin has been providing mountain forecasts for the Pacific Northwest since the mid 1980’s and is currently providing weather forecasts for many of the Seattle Mountaineers Climb and Scramble leaders.  Michael also provides weather forecasts for some government agencies on key weather events in the Puget Sound Region: wind storms, major rain events, and snow events.  Since 2003 Michael has been providing weather forecasts for Mt. Everest for many of the major expedition and for mountaineers climbing the major peaks around the world. Forecast are also provided  for outdoor events like weddings. Finally Michael and his associates are used as expert witnesses in legal proceedings that concern meteorological events..   Michael Fagin is lead forecaster for West Coast Weather LLC and its affiliate firms: Everest Weather, Alaska Mountain Weather and Washington Online Weather.

Please see our web sites for additional information:  West Coast Weather and Everest Weather. We provide custom forecast for all outdoor events from weddings to climbing mountains.  For information you can  call (toll free)  877-969-4786 or email michaelfagin than put “@” comcast.net for details.

West Coast Outdoor Weather 10-29-2015

in Earth by

MichaelFagin_portrait_StuartRange_LakeCarolineTrail-horz

 

West Coast Outdoor Weather 10-29-2015.  Starting on this Friday and continuing into Sunday a strong trough of low pressure and associated cold front will move into the Washington Cascades and Olympics to bring heavy precipitation. Storm totals could easily exceed 10 inches in water equivalent especially for the volcanic peaks. Also on Sunday freezing levels lower and we could get 5 to 10 inches of snow at the 4500 to 5000 foot levels.
How about for the Sierra in California . It should be dry on Saturday but precipitation will move into Northern and Eastern Sierra on Sunday and Monday. In fact by Monday the Lake Tahoe region will get have 2 inches of water equivalent for 24 hour period ending Monday 5 am with snow levels at about 8000 feet.
Looking at the extended forecast by Wednesday 11-4 (see map below) shows a ridge of high pressure builds over the Washington Cascades for dry conditions.
500 mb map at 18,000 feet. Photo credit: ECMWF
500 mb map at 18,000 feet. Photo credit: ECMWF

About the author: Michael Fagin has been providing mountain forecasts for the Pacific Northwest since the mid 1980’s and is currently providing weather forecasts for many of the Seattle Mountaineers Climb and Scramble leaders.  Michael also provides weather forecasts for some government agencies on key weather events in the Puget Sound Region: wind storms, major rain events, and snow events.  Since 2003 Michael has been providing weather forecasts for Mt. Everest for many of the major expedition and for mountaineers climbing the major peaks around the world. Forecast are also provided  for outdoor events like weddings. Finally Michael and his associates are used as expert witnesses in legal proceedings that concern meteorological events..   Michael Fagin is lead forecaster for West Coast Weather LLC and its affiliate firms: Everest Weather, Alaska Mountain Weather and Washington Online Weather.

Please see our web sites for additional information:  West Coast Weather and Everest Weather. We provide custom forecast for all outdoor events from weddings to climbing mountains.  For information you can  call (toll free)  877-969-4786 or email michaelfagin than put “@” comcast.net for details.

West Coast Outdoor Weather -10-15-2015

in Earth by

MichaelFagin_portrait_StuartRange_LakeCarolineTrail-horz

 

West Coast Outdoor Weather- 10-15-2015.  This  weekend outdoor weather for the West Coast will start off with a trough of low pressure and associated cold front moving into the Washington Cascades and Olympics to spread precipitation to the region on Saturday.  For the  24 hour  period ending Sunday morning precipitation totals should at 0.50 inches in water equivalent. Although the Olympics should have higher amounts. Another system moves into the Washington Cascades and Olympics on later on Sunday and Monday.
For the Northern Sierra (Lassen Peak and north)  chance of precipitation  late Saturday or early Sunday. Perhaps some thundershowers as well.
Looking at the extended forecast by Wednesday 10-21 (see map below) shows a ridge of high pressure off the California coast so dry conditions prevail there. However chance of some precipitation for the Washington Cascades.
500 mb map at 18,000 for Wednesday 10-21. Credit: ECMWF
500 mb map at 18,000 for Wednesday 10-21. Credit: ECMWF

About the author: Michael Fagin has been providing mountain forecasts for the Pacific Northwest since the mid 1980’s and is currently providing weather forecasts for many of the Seattle Mountaineers Climb and Scramble leaders.  Michael also provides weather forecasts for some government agencies on key weather events in the Puget Sound Region: wind storms, major rain events, and snow events.  Since 2003 Michael has been providing weather forecasts for Mt. Everest for many of the major expedition and for mountaineers climbing the major peaks around the world. Forecast are also provided  for outdoor events like weddings. Finally Michael and his associates are used as expert witnesses in legal proceedings that concern meteorological events..   Michael Fagin is lead forecaster for West Coast Weather LLC and its affiliate firms: Everest Weather, Alaska Mountain Weather and Washington Online Weather.

Please see our web sites for additional information:  West Coast Weather and Everest Weather. We provide custom forecast for all outdoor events from weddings to climbing mountains.  For information you can  call (toll free)  877-969-4786 or email michaelfagin than put “@” comcast.net for details.

West Coast Outdoor Weather 10-8-2015

in Earth by

MichaelFagin_portrait_StuartRange_LakeCarolineTrail-horz

 

West Coast Outdoor Weather- 10-8-2015.  The weekend will bring some moderate precipitation to the Washington Cascades and Olympics. How much? Cumulative totals for Saturday and Sunday have up to 5.00 inches in water equivalent for parts of the Olympics and areas near Mt. Baker. After the dry summer, this is certainly needed.
Looking for dryer conditions? Well the extended forecast from Wednesday October 14 to Wednesday October 21 shows above normal temperatures and below normal precipitation for much of the Washington Cascades.
The weekend weather over the Sierra will bring dry conditions. However the extended gets a little tricky. A trough of low pressure (see below) is off the coast and has plenty of moisture. If this tracks towards the east and into California could bring some moderate precipitation and if it tracks towards the west than it will stay dry.  Too early to tell of the track moving forward. Stay tuned.
West Coast Outdoor Weather- 10-8-2015

About the author: Michael Fagin has been providing mountain forecasts for the Pacific Northwest since the mid 1980’s and is currently providing weather forecasts for many of the Seattle Mountaineers Climb and Scramble leaders.  Michael also provides weather forecasts for some government agencies on key weather events in the Puget Sound Region: wind storms, major rain events, and snow events.  Since 2003 Michael has been providing weather forecasts for Mt. Everest for many of the major expedition and for mountaineers climbing the major peaks around the world. Forecast are also provided  for outdoor events like weddings. Finally Michael and his associates are used as expert witnesses in legal proceedings that concern meteorological events..   Michael Fagin is lead forecaster for West Coast Weather LLC and its affiliate firms: Everest Weather, Alaska Mountain Weather and Washington Online Weather.

Please see our web sites for additional information:  West Coast Weather and Everest Weather. We provide custom forecast for all outdoor events from weddings to climbing mountains.  For information you can  call (toll free)  877-969-4786 or email michaelfagin than put “@” comcast.net for details.

West Coast Outdoor Weather- 10-1-2015

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MichaelFagin_portrait_StuartRange_LakeCarolineTrail-horz

West Coast Outdoor Weather- 10-1-2015.  The weekend will bring some showers early on Saturday for the Washington Cascades than a drying trend late on Saturday and into Sunday. Thus, Sunday should be a fine day to enjoy the fall foliage on many of your trails with plenty of sun.
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However for the North Sierra in California, Mt. Shasta and north, a trough of low pressure will be over the region (see map below) for the chance of some showers, however most models suggest that it will be light showers.
Trough of low pressure over North Sierra: Source: NCAR
Trough of low pressure over North Sierra: Source: NCAR
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How about Monday (10-5-2015) and the rest of the week? For Monday through Wednesday (10-7-2015) forecast models have a ridge of high pressure over much of the West Coast so mostly sunny for the mountains will be the rule. Perhaps take a day off for a hike.
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About the author: Michael Fagin has been providing mountain forecasts for the Pacific Northwest since the mid 1980’s and is currently providing weather forecasts for many of the Seattle Mountaineers Climb and Scramble leaders.  Michael also provides weather forecasts for some government agencies on key weather events in the Puget Sound Region: wind storms, major rain events, and snow events.  Since 2003 Michael has been providing weather forecasts for Mt. Everest for many of the major expedition and for mountaineers climbing the major peaks around the world. Forecast are also provided  for outdoor events like weddings. Finally Michael and his associates are used as expert witnesses in legal proceedings that concern meteorological events..   Michael Fagin is lead forecaster for West Coast Weather ,LLC and its affiliate firms: Everest Weather, Alaska Mountain Weather and Washington Online Weather.

 

Please see our web sites for additional information:  West Coast Weather and Everest Weather. We provide custom forecast for all outdoor events from weddings to climbing mountains. Cost only $25 for multi-day custom Washington state forecast. Call (toll free)  877-969-4786 or email michaelfagin than put “@” comcast.net for details.

 

 

 

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